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Experts Refute Report On Iraqi “Germ” Trailers

U.S. inspectors examine one of the mysterious trailers found in northern Iraq

NEW YORK, June 7 (IslamOnline.net & News Agencies) - U.S. and British intelligence analysts who have examined mysterious trailers found in Iraq are repudiating claims they were used for making deadly germs, a leading American newspaper reported Saturday, June 7.

They said the mobile units were more likely intended for other purposes and charged that the CIA evaluation process had been damaged by a rush to judgment, said the New York Times.

"Everyone has wanted to find the 'smoking gun' so much that they may have wanted to have reached this conclusion," said one intelligence expert who has seen the trailers.

"I am very upset with the process," the man, who declined to put his name, told the American daily.

According to the Time, intelligence analysts stationed in the Middle East, the U.S. and Britain, are disclosing serious doubts about the administration's conclusions in what appears to be a bitter debate within the intelligence community.

At least three teams of Western experts have examined the trailers and evidence from them.

While the first two were largely convinced that trailers were intended for producing germ agents, several members of the third group, which comprises more senior analysts, are expressing strong skepticism.

"I have no great confidence that it's a fermenter," a senior analyst with long experience in unconventional arms said of a tank allegedly for multiplying seed germs into lethal swarms.

The government's public report, he charged, "was a rushed job and looks political."

A May 28 CIA report, although admitting no traces of biological warfare agents were detected in the trailers, concluded that production of biological warfare agents was their "only consistent logical purpose."

Not everyone within the intelligence community agrees, stressed the Times.

Skeptics cite three flaws in the government's argument, zeroing in on a central processing unit, or fermenter, needed to multiply germs to a level of concentration that makes them deadly.

First, the trailers lacked gear for steam sterilization, described as "a prerequisite for any kind of biological production." Without it, the germs would likely become contaminated, the experts said.

William C. Patrick III, a senior official in the germ warfare program that Washington renounced in 1969, told the Times the lack of steam sterilization had caused him to question the germ-plant theory he had once tentatively endorsed.

"That's a huge minus," he said. "I don't see how you can clean those tanks chemically."

Second, each unit could produce only a small amount of germ-filled liquid, which would then require further processing at another facility.

Third, technicians would have no easy way of removing germs from the processing tank.

Iraqi scientists have said the trailers were used to produce hydrogen for weather balloons -- an assertion some analysts now view as "potentially credible," the Times said.

Some administration officials disputed the skeptics and provided alternate explanations.

Iraq could have used a separate mobile unit to supply steam to the trailer, or sterilized the tanks with pure water instead of steam, they argued.

They disagreed that the trailers could only make a small amount of concentrated weapons and said Iraqi scientists could drain the tanks of germ-laden liquids through a pipe on the trailer's bottom, using an air compressor to speed the process.

But even if the skepticism turns out to be a minority view, it is significant given the image of consensus Washington has projected and how much administration officials exaggerated the mobile units find, said the Times.

It recalled that at his recent meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin, U.S. President George Bush cited the trailers as evidence of illegal Iraqi arms.

Some doubters noted that the intelligence community was still scrambling to analyze the trailers, suggesting that the CIA report may have been premature.

They said labs in the Middle East and the U.S. were now analyzing more than 100 samples from the trailers to verify the intelligence findings.

Controversy has been raging over whether the United States and Britain fudged the data to back up their claims about the existence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, advanced as the main reason for the war but still missing after extensive searches throughout the country.

On Thursday, June 5, chief U.N. arms inspector Hans Blix publicly questioned the credibility of the U.S.-led arms experts charged with searching out Iraq's arsenal.

The Times report comes after the revelation Friday, June 6, a Pentagon intelligence report said there was no "reliable information" Baghdad had weapons of mass destruction.

The assessment, laid out by the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) in September 2002, contrasted with unqualified assertions by U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and other top administration officials that Iraq had amassed large stocks of chemical and biological weapons.

The Senate Intelligence Committee plans to hold hearings, and the CIA is conducting an internal review of the intelligence before and after the invasion or Iraq.

Rumsfeld, who had requested the review, told reporters Thursday, June 5, after meeting with members of Congress that the intelligence was "good."

With the failure to come up with any evidence of WMD, Rumsfeld chose the easiest way out by saying Iraq might have destroyed them before the war.

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