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Election Results Spoil Serbia's Drive Toward Europe

Supporters of the SRP greet their leader Tomislav Nikolic in Belgrade (AFP)

BELGRADE, December 29 (IslamOnline.net & News Agencies) - The election of ultra-nationalists and war criminals including former President Slobodan Milosevic to the Serbian parliament could complicate the country's progress toward Europe after what is seen as a public national disaster for the west-central Balkan country.

The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) said Monday, December 29, it was "disappointed" with the electoral success of nationalists and war crimes suspects and called for the rapid formation of a new democratic alliance, said Agence France-Presse (AFP).

War crimes indictees Vojislav Seselj and Slobodan Milosevic , the former Yugoslav President accused of committing crimes during the bloody Balkan conflicts of the 1990s, were elected to the parliament from their prison cells near The Hague.

Both men are facing charges at the U.N. war crimes tribunal in The Netherlands and will not be able to fill their mandates in parliament.

But the strength of Seselj's Serbian Radical Party (SRB), which will be the strongest force in the 250-seat assembly after grabbing some 27 percent of the vote in Sunday's election, will worry European capitals.

The election means that more than one in four Serbians voted against the country's cooperation with the U.N. war crimes tribunal, international financial institutions and liberal European ideas of democracy-building.

The Radical Party's victory is a public relations disaster for Serbia, said the BBC News Online.

The country's outgoing deputy prime minister, Nebojsa Covic, said voters had punished the reformist government for failing to raise living standards.

Preliminary results showed the SRS to have won a little more than a quarter of the popular vote, but it is set to take about one-third of the parliamentary seats.

That would allow it to block reforms and change the constitution.

Although the Radicals will not be able to form a government but they will be "looking over the shoulder", as one European diplomat put it, of what is expected to be an unsteady governing coalition of democratic parties.

Within the four parties most likely to group together to form a majority there are gaping differences over fundamental issues ranging from the future of the U.N.-administered province of Kosovo, the E.U.-backed union with Montenegro, cooperation with the war crimes tribunal and the pace of economic reform.

Collapse With Rancor

European diplomats said there was a risk that the government could collapse in rancor and infighting and new elections could be necessary within a year if reformers fail to resolve differences.

"If there is a kind of grand coalition it would have the same risk as the previous government (infighting)," the OSCE ambassador to Serbia and Montenegro, Maurizio Massari, said.

"One possible scenario that should not be completely ruled out is that they won't be able to form a new government and that would be the worst scenario".

He said that could lead to "repeat elections in six months and then the Radicals could perform very strongly".

Another diplomat said that the pressure of the nationalist revival in Serbia meant that even if the reformists manage to form a coalition, the new government would be "definitely more nationalistic, less amenable to compromise on issues like the war crimes court and less patient in its cooperation with the international community".

Cooperation with the U.N. war crimes tribunal will be one of the first tests of a new reformist government's strength and sincerity, diplomats said.

Washington is due to finish a review of Serbia's cooperation with the court in March which could unlock some 100 million dollars in badly needed aid.

In exchange it has demanded the arrest of top war crimes suspect Ratko Mladic, the former Bosnian Serb military chief who is allegedly hiding in Serbia.

Vojislav Kostunica, a reformist opposition party leader and possible prime minister in a new government, told AFP he did not believe Mladic was in Serbia and accused the U.N. court of threatening the "survival" of the country.

He said The Hague was "poking fun with justice" and promised to introduce a new law governing the country's relations with the tribunal -- effectively slapping a moratorium on arrests and extraditions for the duration of what could be a long and bitter debate.

The second most popular party, according to polls, is the Democratic Party of Serbia led by Kostunica, who replaced Milosevic as Yugoslav president in 2000.

Kostunica has been at odds with supporters of former Prime Minister Zoran Djindjic, who was assassinated in March, since soon after Milosevic's overthrow.

But Kostunica said as he cast his ballot that he expected the elections to bring political calm to Serbia.


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