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Elections Behind US Escalation in Iraq: Report

The US escalation in Iraq adds to the already simmering resentment among Iraqis (AFP)

By Abdul Raheem Ali, IOL Correspondent

CAIRO, September 15 (IslamOnline.net) – The US-led occupation forces have escalated attacks in Iraq mainly to serve elections in the United States and Iraq as well as to face sophisticated tactics of resistance in the oil-rich country, experts believe.

Hundreds of Iraqis, including women and children, were killed in land and air raids by the US forces on many residential areas on claims they are supporting resistance fighters in the occupied country.

“With four months to go before nationwide elections in Iraq, the resistance operations have grown more sophisticated using street war tactics – much to leave American soldiers shivering of shock,” said Hussein Ouaydat, a Syrian political analyst.

“This pushed the US military to make a quick aggressive intervention to raise the almost collapsing morale of its soldiers,” Ouaydat told IslamOnline.net by telephone.

Resistance fighters’ attacks have grown more brazen and sophisticated, “prompting American commanders to begin a series of military operations to regain control over large sections of the country lost in recent months,” the New York Times has reported Monday, September 13.

The report came one day after the Iraqi fighters struck the Americans and their allies in the Iraqi government in manifold ways: with bombings, mortars and rockets.

Alliance

Fears are also growing after the US forces discovered attempts by some political forces opposed to occupation and the US-backed interim government in Iraq to ally with armed resistance to get more organized within a political context, Ouaydat said.

In August 2004, representatives of Sunni resistance groups and anti-occupation Iraqi political forces met in Beirut for seeking an alternative National Conference challenging the one held by the Iraqi government and backed by Washington.

To add salt to injury, the Iraqi government does not enjoy high popularity in the country, something which makes it a danger to keep pockets of resistance working in the country.

“The main reason for the US occupation forces to escalate military operations in Iraq is the approaching elections in the country,” said Wahid Abdel-Majid, the deputy director of Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies.

Iraqi Prime Minister Iyad Allawi said last week that the US operations are targeting "pockets of resistance", and that they came "at the request of my government."

American Elections

Bush’s election campaign is to benefit from the escalating attacks in Iraq

Analysts also believe that the escalating attacks in Iraq do serve US President George W. Bush’s chances for securing a second term in the White House.

“Bush wants to prove to his voters his ability to crush down terrorism –- a matter which has a high priority on his agenda of the re-election campaign," said Gamal Zahran, a lecturer in Suez canal .

The democratic presidential competitor John Kerry has heaped criticism over Bush for a rising casualty toll among US soldiers and a continued cauldron of chaos and anarchy in Iraq .

UN Support

Observers believe that any delay of the Iraqi elections and continued violence in Iraq would cast a pall on Washington’s bids to legalize its military presence in the oil-rich country – so far deemed an occupation even by the United Nations – and draw more support from world countries.

Iraq has the world’s second largest reserves of oil – whose prices are expected to shore up as far as 50 dollars a barrel this winter.

US Ambassador John Danforth on September 14, urged nations to contribute troops and money to provide security so the United Nations can return to Iraq , especially to help with upcoming elections.

“Everybody who cares about Iraq believes the election should be held and the election should be held on schedule,” Danforth said.

“The UN's presence is very important.”

But he admitted that the security situation in Iraq remains fragile, “attacks are persistent, and lives continue to be lost.

At the heart of the problem facing Allawi and the American occupation forces is the legitimacy of the January elections.

Iraq 's new deputy UN ambassador, Feisal Amin Al-Istrabadi, urged Tuesday the world's nations to send troops to protect an expanded UN staff which he called essential for holding the country's first free elections.

The Security Council has directed the United Nations to play a leading role in helping Iraq hold elections and establish a battalion for the multinational force that would provide security for UN personnel and offices.

But because of the high level of instability, the United Nations has established its main office outside Iraq and has been unable to send in more than a few dozen international staff on an ad hoc basis.

Backfire

But the US newly aggressive strategy in Iraq put the world’s sole superpower in a dilemma.

The Americans are rapidly finding themselves in the classic dilemma faced by governments battling guerrilla movements: ease up, and the resistance may grow; crack down, and risk losing the support of the population, said the NY Times Tuesday.

The additional quandary facing the Americans is the need to break the deadlock before January, the self-imposed deadline for elections, it added.

“When the Americans fire back, they don't hit the people who are attacking them, only the civilians,” Osama Ali, a 24-year-old Iraqi who witnessed one US attack, told the daily.

“This is why Iraqis hate the Americans so much. This is why we love resistance fighters.”

Also, an iron fist also the risk of alienating allies. On Monday, Turkey 's foreign minister, Abdullah Gul, said his government would end all cooperation with the United States in Iraq if the military did not stop pounding Talafar, a northern city of ethnic Turkmen where 50 were killed over the last two days.

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