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100,000 Iraqi Civilians Killed Since Invasion: Study

Digging the rubble for a civilian victim

LONDON, October 29 (IslamOnline.net & News Agencies)  - Over 100,000 civilians -- half of whom women and children -- have lost their lives since the US-led invasion of Iraq in March 2003, according to a study published by a respected British medical weekly.

The study, based on interviews among Iraqi households and an extrapolation of the data, was led by experts from the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health in Baltimore, in the US state of Maryland, Lancet reported.

“Making conservative assumptions, we think that about 100,000 excess deaths or more have happened since the 2003 invasion of Iraq,” the authors said.

“Violence accounted for most of the excess deaths and air strikes from coalition forces accounted for most violent deaths.”

Their figure is based on data from 988 households from 33 randomly-selected neighborhoods in Iraq, according to Agence France-Presse (AFP).

The study found that more than half of those who died were women and children killed in air strikes.

Count Failure

US air strikes destroy homes over the heads of Iraqis

The study also savagely criticized the failure by the US-led forces to count Iraqi casualties, while keeping an accurate count of their soldiers killed since the invasion of the oil-rich country.

It slammed US General Tommy Franks for his widely quoted remark that “we don't do body counts”.

The researchers also said that the Geneva Convention requires occupying forces to protect the civilian population, and add the fact that more than half of the deaths caused by them were women and children is “cause for concern”.

As the United States declared that its soldiers killed in Iraq hit 1,000, Iraqis demand to know why so little attention was being given to their rather large but forgotten victims.

The new findings came as starkly different from those previous estimates which have put the Iraqi death toll at around 10,000.

The authors themselves acknowledge, however, that the sampling strategy “might not have captured the overall mortality experience in Iraq.”

The researchers recruited seven Iraqi team members who were willing to risk their lives to interview households about deaths that occurred from January 2002 to March 2003 and from March 2003 to September 2004, British daily the Independent quoted the study.

“In the 988 households visited, which were randomly selected, there were 46 deaths in the 14.6 months before the invasion and 142 deaths in the 17.8 months after it.”

Of the 142 deaths, half (73) were caused by violence. More than two-thirds of these violent deaths - 52 - happened in the Fallujah area, scene of the heaviest fighting, as per the daily.

The researchers say this makes Fallujah a “statistical outlier” which may not be representative of the rest of Iraq. They therefore excluded it from their calculations.

If Fallujah is stripped out of the calculations, the overall estimate for the civilian tally nationwide comes to just under 100,000, at 98,000.

If it is included, the death toll would rise around 200,000, although the researchers stress that there is “substantial... uncertainty” in making a projection of that kind.

Furious Reactions

“It is really horrifying. When will Tony Blair stop saying it is all beneficial for the Iraqi people since Saddam Hussein has gone?” said Short

The figures provoked a furious response in Westminster, Britain.

Clare Short, the former cabinet minister who resigned over the Iraq invasion, said: “It is really horrifying. When will Tony Blair stop saying it is all beneficial for the Iraqi people since Saddam Hussein has gone? How many more lives are to be taken?”

“It is no wonder, given this tragic death toll, that the resistance to the occupation is growing,” Short was quoted by the Independent as saying Friday, October 29.

“We have all relied on Iraqi body counts from media reports. That is clearly an under-estimate and this shows that it was a very big under-estimate. It is truly dreadful. Tony Blair talks simplistically about it getting better in Iraq. These figures prove it is just an illusion,” she said.

British MPs said the assault on Fallujah expected after the US presidential election next Tuesday, November 2, would add to the growing death toll among civilians, according to the daily.

Alan Simpson, a member of Labor Against the War, said: “Iraq has not seen this scale of slaughter since its war with Iran. At some point, the slaughter of civilians in the name of peace has to become a crime of war. This is not a matter of indifference but criminality. These figures are horrific, but it is a scandal that the world remains silent.”

A spokesperson for the Stop the War Coalition was quoted by the daily as saying: “The number of dead has exceeded even our worst fears. This war has been shown to be based on lies and to be illegal.

“It now turns out to be one of the bloodiest in modern times. We must withdraw our troops now and allow the Iraqis to run their own country.”

The US and Britain had made the case for the invasion of Iraq on claims that it had weapons of mass desertion, none of which have been found in the Arab country.

That raised fears the invasion of Iraq -- which has the world's second largest oil reserves -- was based on false pretexts.

British Foreign Secretary Jack Straw said after the survey was released his government would study it “in a very serious way”

“This is a very high estimate, indeed,” he told the BBC.

Click Here to Read the Findings in Detail

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