Arab Roadmap to Help Syria Out of Lebanon

Syria figures high on Bush's agenda during his European tour. (Reuters)

By Abdul Raheem Ali, IOL Correspondent

CAIRO, February 21, 2005 (IslamOnline.net) – Fearing a recurrence of the Iraqi scenario, Arab countries are intensively moving on various levels to spare Syria the predicament Iraq's Saddam faced that eventually led to the invasion-turned-occupation of the Arab country, a senior Arab official has revealed to IslamOnline.net.

The official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, sounded optimistic the Arab diplomatic dive would pay off, expecting Syria to declare a timetable for the withdrawal of its troops from Lebanon “in the coming few days”.

Championed by Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Jordan, the efforts aim at “defusing the current growing tension between Washington and Damascus through an acceptable formula under which Syrian forces could pull out,” he said.

Egyptian presidential spokesman Sulaiman Awad said in press statements Sunday that "all Arab countries, led by Egypt, are seeking a situation where the current impasse could be solved and pressures on Syria could be lifted.”

Within the same context, Arab League Secretary General Amr Mussa visited Damascus Sunday, February 20, carrying several messages from Arab leaders to President Bashar El-Assad.

Moussa urged the Syrian leader to “deal seriously and more realistically with current US threats,” according to the senior Arab official.

The US has upped its pressure and increased hostile rhetoric against Damascus following last week's assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri, recalling its ambassador to the Arab state for consultations.

While Washington has stopped short of bluntly accusing Syria, it, along with Paris, pressed for an international investigation and the immediate withdrawal of Syrian troops from its tiny neighbor.

Some officials in the US administration have not even ruled out military options in the standoff with Syria.

Syria denies any involvement in the killing of Hariri and points the finger at arch foe Israel.

Arab Roadmap

Arabs want Assad to “deal seriously and more realistically with current US threats”.

The senior Arab official outlined moves taken by Arab states in the direction of a swift peaceful solution to the standoff.

“Undeclared diplomatic moves are currently under way with Syria in an attempt to clarify the gravity of the situation in case it refuses to implement UN resolution 1559,” he said.

In September 2004, the US and France sponsored a UN Security Council resolution, demanding the withdrawal of all foreign troops from Lebanon – a clear reference to Syrian forces.

Analysts believe Washington could easily, based on the resolution, mobilize international support to move militarily against Syria if continuing to refuse the implementation of the resolution.

“There is a proposal for the Syrians to declare a withdrawal schedule in accordance with Taif agreement [which ended a 1975-1990 civil war], not resolution 1559,” said the Arab official.

“This gives Syria a dignified way out, without being seen as bowing to Washington's threats,” he added.

Under Taif agreement, Syrian troops were to start withdrawing from Beirut and to redeploy to eastern Bekaa Valley by 1992.

The implementation of the agreement was delayed, however, till June 2001 when Syria withdrew most of its troops from Beirut and suburbs, following Israel's withdrawal from South Lebanon in May 2000.

Parallel Moves

On the international levels, the three Arab countries posted the US and the Europeans, especially Paris, on their moves to solve the standoff.

In parallel, they are seeking intensive talks with the anti-Syrian Lebanese powers, in a bid to convince them to hold a national conference.

The target, according to the same source, is to secure the main demand of the opposition for the withdrawal of Syrian troops but under an Arab umbrella and without international intervention.

In return, added the Arab officials, the opposition would agree to delay the deployment of Lebanese army forces in the south to take the place of Hezbollah fighters.

In his sermon Sunday, Maronite Christian Patriarch Nasrallah Sfeir, seen as the main driving force behind the anti-Syrian campaign, called on the opposition to avoid deepening splits between pro- and anti-Syrian camps from sparking a civil war.

Pro-government political and parliamentary powers called Sunday for an unconditional dialogue with the opposition to preserve the country's national unity and interests.

The opposition, however, seemed intent on raising the stakes to the maximum, rejecting such calls.

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