Analysts Explore Musharraf's "Israel" Gesture

What does Musharraf have in mind?

ISLAMABAD, September 2, 2005 (IslamOnline.net & News Agencies) – The high-profile meeting between the Israeli foreign minister and Pakistan's top diplomat offered analysts and political observers Friday, September 2, a rich opportunity to take a journey into the mind of Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf, in a bid to come up with a composite picture about the "sudden move".

Some analysts said it was Israel-Indo relations that dictated the timing of going public with contacts that have always been there, but secretly.

Others believed Musharraf has been making a lot of peace recently in a move mainly to improve the Muslim country's image abroad.

A third team, while not ruling out the first two possibilities, saw the move as "staying the course" of getting closer to the West, at the expense of "Islamists at home".

As expected, the historic move caused shockwaves back home and Musharraf himself was attacked bitterly during Friday sermons.

"Western" Gains

But analysts told Agence France-Presse (AFP) that Musharraf stands to reap benefits abroad, by improving Pakistan's terrorism-tarnished image and lifting the heat from the west over a proliferation scandal by the father of its nuclear bomb.

"Pakistan is likely to gain a lot from President Pervez Musharraf's bold decision," Ishtiaq Ahmed, professor of international relations at Islamabad's Quaid-e-Azam University, told AFP.

Analysts further said it was an effort by Pakistan to increase its diplomatic options by defusing the opposition of influential Jewish groups in the United States, especially on Capitol Hill.

Over the past year Musharraf himself has been touting his personal brand of moderate Islam around the world, and is due to address Jewish leaders in New York later this month.

"Pakistan will now be seen as a state which acts independently and is not part of the group of Muslim hardline states," Hasan Askari, former head of political science at Punjab University in Lahore, told AFP.

He added that Musharraf will be keen to overturn the continuing suspicion with which the West -- and Israel in particular -- regards the Muslim world's only nuclear-armed state, despite its support for Washington's "war on terror".

Much of this comes from the disclosure in early 2004 that Pakistani atomic scientist Abdul Qadeer Khan had passed nuclear secrets to Iran, North Korea and Libya. Khan was pardoned by Musharraf but remains under house arrest.

Punjab university's Askari said the basic concern of US Jewish groups was that nuclear technology would not be transferred from Pakistan to Israel's adversaries in the Arab world.

"Pakistan must have now assured them that its nuclear program has relevance only in the South Asian context," he added.

India

Pakistani Islamists are fuming. (Reuters)

Just as crucially for Islamabad, though, the move could also help Pakistan to counter the close relations between India and Israel.

Israel last year approved a 1.1-billion-dollar arms deal with India which included the sale of airborne early warning radar systems.

Ever paranoid about its bigger and stronger western neighbor, with whom it has fought three wars since independence from Britain in 1947, Pakistan said the deal highlighted the strategic imbalance in South Asia, AFP said.

"The Pakistani move is an attempt to successfully neutralize the Indo-Israeli nexus," Ahmed observed.

Pakistani newspapers, for their part, put India on top of the "list of what Pakistan stood to gain by engaging Israel".

"First, it will be a blow to the growing Indo-Israeli nexus," said The News, referring Israel's sale of advanced weapons to Pakistan's old rival, India.

"Secondly, it would bring credible advantages for Pakistan within the American political system, where the Jewish lobby's clout is unquestionable.

"And thirdly, it would lift some pressure put on Pakistan by the West over management of its nuclear arms," according to the daily.

Traitor

In Islamabad Friday, Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz defended talks held with Israel a day earlier.

The meeting between Foreign Minister Khursheed Mehmood Kasuri and his Israeli counterpart Silvan Shalom in Istanbul Thursday was the first publicly acknowledged high-level contact Pakistan has held with the Jewish state.

"There is no harm in having talks," Aziz told the lower house of the National Assembly, where opposition Islamist legislators walked out in token protest.

"If we have met somebody this does not mean we agree with them. We may be able to change their stand," he added, according to Reuters.

A staunch supporter of the Palestinian cause, Pakistan has stressed that it will not recognize Israel until a Palestinian state is established.

Foreign Minister Kasuri, talking to reporters in Dubai during a stopover before returning home, said the move would give Pakistan "diplomatic space".

"Frankly (secret) contacts have been going on for decades, but we wanted to send a signal to the Israeli government and people that the assumption that Islamic countries cannot live in peace with the Jewish state is not correct, if Israel were to vacate occupied territory," Kasuri said.

But Musharraf's policy shift sparked outbursts in mosques.

"General Musharraf is an agent of Jews. His agenda is to sell Pakistan and Pakistani Muslims to Jews and the Jews' ally," the imam told the faithful at Islamabad's Red Mosque, Reuters reported.

"We will not allow General Musharraf to disgrace Islam. Every Muslim will resist General Musharraf's plan," the preacher said.

Munawar Hassan, secretary general of the Jamaat-e-Islami (Islamic Party), warned Kasuri would be greeted by black flags when he returns home, but in the capital Islamabad, a protest in front of a press club mustered less than 100 supporters.

From his stronghold in Peshawar, the provincial capital of North West Frontier Province, Qazi Hussain Ahmed, a leader of the alliance of six Islamist parties accused Musharraf of compromising over Afghanistan, Kashmir and now Palestine, and pledged to launch a countrywide protest, according to Reuters.

A few hundred supporters came out on the streets of Peshawar Friday, albeit chanting with gusto "al jihad, al jihad" and "America's friend is the nation's traitor" and "al jihad, al jihad" in a summons to join a holy war.

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